Do you sometimes look at real estate numbers and some of them feel off? Maybe you saw a neighborhood’s “average home price” listed at $600,000, but most homes are around $500,000 when you check listings. What’s going on? That’s the difference between average and median, and it can change how you interpret the market.
You need to know which metric to rely on regardless of whether you are buying, selling, or managing properties, as this can impact everything – from setting prices to negotiating deals. Let’s take a closer look so we can explain better.
Average vs. Median: What’s the Difference?
First, let’s define these two terms without getting lost in math jargon.
Average Sale Price: Add up all the home sale prices in a given area and divide by the number of homes sold.
Median Sale Price: List all sale prices from lowest to highest, then find the middle number.
Sounds simple, right? The tricky part is that extreme values can skew averages. If one ultra-luxury home sells in a neighborhood of mid-range houses, the average shoots up, making the area seem pricier than it is.
Why Does This Matter?
According to Lucroy Residential, If you set prices on rentals and you rely on the average, you might set rents too high, scaring away potential tenants. Conversely, using the median gives a more realistic view, helping you stay competitive while maximizing revenue.
A Tale of Two Streets
Let’s say we have two streets, each with 10 homes:
Street A (Evenly Priced Homes)
$500K, $510K, $515K, $520K, $525K, $530K, $535K, $540K, $545K, $550K
- Average Price: $527,000
- Median Price: $527,500
Here, the numbers are close. This means the average is a good indicator of home values because there are no extreme outliers.
Street B (One Mega-Mansion)
$400K, $410K, $415K, $420K, $425K, $430K, $435K, $440K, $445K, $1.5M
- Average Price: $532,500
- Median Price: $427,500
That single $1.5M sale drags the average way up, making it seem like homes here are worth over half a million when most are below $450K. The median, however, shows a more accurate picture of what typical homes are selling for.
If a property manager sets rental prices based on the inflated average, they’ll have vacancies for months. However, using the median helps them set realistic, competitive rents.
When to Use Each Metric
Scenario | Best Metric |
Setting home prices in a diverse neighborhood | Median |
Analyzing high-end markets with consistent pricing | Average |
Determining rental rates as a property manager | Median |
Evaluating investment properties | Median |
Comparing home values in a new development | Average |
According to The Joseph Group, using the right metric can mean the difference between maximizing occupancy and missing out on tenants due to unrealistic pricing. Averages might make a market look better on paper, but medians help you make smart business decisions.
How This Affects Buyers and Sellers
For Buyers: Check the median if you’re house-hunting and see an “average” price that feels out of reach. You might find that most homes are well within your budget, with a few high-end properties skewing the numbers.
For Sellers: Pricing a home based on the average could lead to overpricing (and months of sitting on the market) or underpricing (and leaving money on the table). A property manager advising sellers should always look at the median to help set realistic expectations.
The Property Manager’s Perspective
Understanding median vs. average is essential for setting competitive rates if you manage a rental portfolio. Relying on the average could push rents too high, leaving units vacant or too low, cutting profits.
For example, in a downtown district with a mix of luxury penthouses and budget apartments, the average rent might be $3,000/month. However, if most units rent for $2,200/month, setting rents based on the average would lead to unrealistic expectations and lost revenue. The median gives a clearer picture, helping property managers maximize occupancy and income.
Final Thoughts: Which One Should You Use?
If you take one thing away from this, let it be this: the median sale price is usually the better number to use. It’s less affected by outliers and gives a more accurate market snapshot.
The next time you see a flashy real estate report or hear an agent quoting the “average price,” ask yourself: Is that the whole story? Property managers, investors, and homebuyers who understand the difference can make smarter, data-driven decisions and that’s the real advantage.
So, always double-check the numbers, whether you’re pricing rentals, analyzing sales trends, or helping clients make the right move. Your bottom line will thank you.